02.24.11
First Moderate Risk Of The Year
The Storm Prediction Center issued the first moderate risk of the year yesterday, valid today and tonight. Today’s moderate risk includes a 15% chance for tornadoes, 30% for 1″ or greater hail, and 45% for severe wind, centered in eastern Arkansas into northwest Mississippi and western Tennessee.
I won’t be chasing this one; I’m planning on waiting for better setups farther west. That being said, this is a fairly potent setup and there may be a similar one in about the same location on Sunday.
I’ll probably post a bit more on this setup and the storms that form later in the day.
Stay safe!